ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 132317 
SPC MCD 132317 
KSZ000-140045-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0902
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0617 PM CDT MON JUN 13 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF SWRN KS

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH LIKELY 

VALID 132317Z - 140045Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...95 PERCENT

SUMMARY...THE SVR RISK IS INCREASING E OF WW 250...LIKELY
NECESSITATING THE ISSUANCE OF A SVR TSTM WATCH DOWNSTREAM.

DISCUSSION...A FORWARD-PROPAGATING CONVECTIVE CLUSTER WILL CONTINUE
SPREADING EWD/SEWD INTO/ACROSS PARTS OF SWRN KS. WITH MOIST/UNSTABLE
INFLOW CHARACTERIZED BY 1000-2500 J/KG OF MLCAPE AMIDST 35-50 KT OF
EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR...SVR WIND/HAIL WILL LIKELY ACCOMPANY THIS
ACTIVITY THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS.

..COHEN/CORFIDI.. 06/13/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...DDC...GLD...

LAT...LON   37230121 38410129 38540024 37529960 37160015 37230121 

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