ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 132216 
SPC MCD 132216 
OKZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-TXZ000-COZ000-NMZ000-132345-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0899
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0516 PM CDT MON JUN 13 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF ERN CO...WRN KS...FAR SWRN NEB...TX/OK
PANHANDLES...NERN NM

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 250...

VALID 132216Z - 132345Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 250 CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...THE SVR RISK CONTINUES ACROSS WW 250.

DISCUSSION...CONVECTIVE CLUSTERS AND A FEW SUPERCELLS CONTINUE
TRACKING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CNTRL/SRN HIGH PLAINS. THE
CONVECTIVELY UNPERTURBED AIR MASS REMAINS MODERATELY TO STRONGLY
UNSTABLE...AS SFC DEWPOINTS IN THE MIDDLE 50S TO MIDDLE 60S ARE
SAMPLED ACROSS THE REGION -- BENEATH STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES.
NOTABLE VERTICALLY-VEERING-FLOW PROFILES IN THE LOWEST 3 KM AGL
SAMPLED BY AREA VWPS...COUPLED WITH 40-60 KT OF EFFECTIVE BULK
SHEAR...SUGGEST THAT ORGANIZED CONVECTIVE MODES/POSSIBLE SUPERCELLS
WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD EWD/SEWD DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
SUPERCELLS NEAR/E OF THE FRONT RANGE FROM PUEBLO TO CASTLE ROCK IN
CO MAY HAVE THE GREATEST POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE SVR HAIL AND PERHAPS A
COUPLE OF TORNADOES -- GIVEN THE ELY SFC WIND COMPONENT AND AMPLE
AFOREMENTIONED LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE BACKED UP TO THE FRONT RANGE.
OTHER CLUSTERS OF SVR TSTMS FROM SERN CO TO NERN NM AND THE WRN TX
PANHANDLE WILL SPREAD EWD/SEWD WITH A RISK FOR SVR WIND/HAIL AND
PERHAPS A BRIEF TORNADO.

..COHEN.. 06/13/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...DDC...GLD...AMA...PUB...BOU...ABQ...

LAT...LON   40300459 40840369 40710219 38930153 36270172 35080277
            35330477 37580503 40300459 

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