MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0886
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0332 PM CDT SUN JUN 12 2016

   AREAS AFFECTED...SRN WY...FAR NRN CO

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 

   VALID 122032Z - 122230Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...HAIL AND STRONG WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE THIS
   AFTERNOON ACROSS FAR NRN CO AND SRN WY. THE SEVERE THREAT IS
   EXPECTED TO REMAIN MARGINAL AND WW ISSUANCE IS NOT EXPECTED.

   DISCUSSION...LATEST RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
   ACROSS NRN CO AND SRN WY WITH THIS ACTIVITY EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN
   COVERAGE OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. SFC DEWPOINTS ARE GENERALLY IN THE
   40S F ACROSS THE MCD AREA WHICH IS KEEPING INSTABILITY WEAK.
   HOWEVER...FORECAST SOUNDINGS FOR 21Z IN SRN WY SHOW DIRECTIONAL
   SHEAR IN THE LOW TO MID-LEVELS WITH 700-500 MB LAPSE RATES NEAR 8.0
   C/KM AND 40-50 KT OF 0-6 KM SHEAR. THIS ENVIRONMENT SHOULD BE
   SUFFICIENT FOR STORM ROTATION AND HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE
   STRONGER UPDRAFTS. AS LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES CONTINUE TO STEEPEN OVER
   THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO...A FEW STRONG WIND GUSTS WILL ALSO BE
   POSSIBLE.

   ..BROYLES/WEISS.. 06/12/2016


   ATTN...WFO...BOU...CYS...RIW...GJT...

   LAT...LON   41410398 42120433 42310623 42220830 42120932 42020968
               41810988 41460999 41090978 40850914 40610716 40680479
               41410398