ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 100429 
SPC MCD 100429 
NDZ000-100530-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0859
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1129 PM CDT THU JUN 09 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...N-CNTRL/NERN ND

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE 

VALID 100429Z - 100530Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...60 PERCENT

SUMMARY...A DAMAGING WIND THREAT WILL CONTINUE FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT
2-3 HRS. WATCH ISSUANCE DOWNSTREAM OF WW 240 IS POSSIBLE BY 05Z.

DISCUSSION...A SMALL BUT INTENSE MCS HAS EVOLVED ACROSS NRN
ND...WITH A 67 KT WIND GUST RECENTLY NOTED AT MIB AND VERY STRONG
WINDS NOTED JUST ABOVE THE SURFACE FROM THE KMBX RADAR. WHILE THE
TENDENCY WILL BE FOR THIS SYSTEM TO BECOME INCREASINGLY ELEVATED
WITH TIME...MODERATELY STRONG LOW-LEVEL SELY FLOW /NOTED ON KMVX
VWP/ AND RELATIVELY RICH MOISTURE WILL HELP TO SUSTAIN THIS
SYSTEM...WITH SOME THREAT OF DAMAGING WIND INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.
COUNTIES HAVE BEEN ADDED TO WW 240 TO COVER THIS THREAT IN THE SHORT
TERM...BUT THIS SYSTEM IS LIKELY TO BEGIN PROGRESSING EWD OUT OF WW
240 BY 05Z...POSSIBLY NECESSITATING DOWNSTREAM WATCH ISSUANCE.

..DEAN/CORFIDI.. 06/10/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FGF...BIS...

LAT...LON   47889976 48409985 49019964 48979853 48819795 48299765
            47759776 47589823 47569941 47889976 

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