ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 300005 
SPC MCD 300005 
TXZ000-NMZ000-300130-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0783
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0705 PM CDT SUN MAY 29 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...SWRN TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 228...

VALID 300005Z - 300130Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 228
CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS CURRENTLY VOID OF ANY
THUNDERSTORMS SAVE FOR A LONE CELL NEAR THE RIO GRANDE. ALTHOUGH A
CONDITIONAL THREAT OF HAIL AND WIND EXISTS...THE WATCH MIGHT BE
CANCELED EARLY IF STORMS DO NOT MATERIALIZE.

DISCUSSION...00Z MAF SOUNDING SHOWS A SUBSTANTIAL CAPPING INVERSION
WITH A RATHER JUMBLED LOW TO MIDLEVEL WIND PROFILE. EARLIER...A CELL
EXISTED NEAR WINK TX BUT IT DID NOT LAST VERY LONG. ANOTHER LONE
CELL CURRENTLY EXISTS ALONG THE BREWSTER COUNTY/MEXICO LINE BUT WILL
CONTINUE INTO MEXICO. 

VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SFC OBS ALSO INDICATE DIFLUENT FLOW
ALONG WITH SHALLOW CU. GIVEN ONLY LOWER 60S F DEWPOINTS...AND THE
SETTING SUN...IT SEEMS UNLIKELY THAT ANYTHING MORE THAN AN ISOLATED
STORM WILL FORM THROUGH EVENING UNLESS WARM ADVECTION/850 MB FLOW
CAN BECOME STRONG ENOUGH TO INDUCE LIFT.

..JEWELL.. 05/30/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...EWX...SJT...LUB...MAF...ABQ...

LAT...LON   33470458 33460102 29660072 29620408 33470458 

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