MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0746
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0345 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2016

   AREAS AFFECTED...EASTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE

   CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 214...

   VALID 262045Z - 262145Z

   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 214 CONTINUES.

   SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORM AND SEVERE POTENTIAL ARE GRADUALLY
   INCREASING...AND A SMALL WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED BY EARLY EVENING.

   DISCUSSION...VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND OBSERVATIONS INDICATE
   TOWERING CUMULUS DEVELOPING ALONG A DRYLINE ON THE WESTERN FRINGES
   OF THE DISCUSSION AREA.  WHILE BOUNDARY LAYER MIXING HAS LOWERED
   DEWPOINTS INTO THE 50S ACROSS THE REGION...BACKING OF LOW-LEVEL FLOW
   EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING MAY ADVECT RICHER LOW-LEVEL AIR FROM
   WESTERN OKLAHOMA /CHARACTERIZED BY UPPER 60S F DEWPOINTS/
   NORTHWESTWARD INTO THE REGION.  THIS...ALONG WITH AN INCREASING
   SOUTHERLY LOW-LEVEL JET BENEATH 40 KNOT SOUTHWESTERLY MID-LEVEL
   FLOW...WOULD FOSTER AN INCREASED TORNADO THREAT...AND NECESSITATE A
   WATCH.  TRENDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED.

   ..COOK/HART.. 05/26/2016


   ATTN...WFO...DDC...LUB...AMA...

   LAT...LON   37030044 36500101 35280104 34610118 33970084 33900010
               34600006 35530001 36520003 36950012 37090037 37030044