ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 250015 
SPC MCD 250015 
KSZ000-OKZ000-250045-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0713
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0715 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL KS

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH NEEDED SOON 

VALID 250015Z - 250045Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...95 PERCENT

SUMMARY...TSTMS ARE QUICKLY DEVELOPING ALONG/N OF A REMNANT OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY...ALONG THE ERN EDGE OF TORNADO WATCH 204. A NEW TORNADO
WATCH WILL BE ISSUED SOON.

DISCUSSION...ISOLATED TSTMS HAVE QUICKLY DEVELOPED ALONG THE ERN
EDGE OF TORNADO WATCH 204. ALTHOUGH THESE ARE MOVING N OF THE
OUTFLOW BOUNDARY...THE AIR MASS STILL REMAINS QUITE UNSTABLE ACROSS
THIS AREA AND SHOULD BE SUPPORTIVE FOR SFC-BASED STORMS. LOW-LEVEL
SHEAR WILL INCREASE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE HRS IN CONJUNCTION WITH THE
LOW-LEVEL JET...AND COULD SUPPORT TORNADO POTENTIAL WITH ANY
MATURING STORMS ACROSS THIS AREA. THE THREAT SHOULD BE LIMITED TO A
NARROW CORRIDOR OVER S-CNTRL KS...WITH MODIFIED AIR FROM NERN OK
CONVECTION ADVECTING NWD INTO SERN KS. A WW WILL BE CONSIDERED SOON.

..ROGERS/EDWARDS.. 05/25/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...ICT...OUN...DDC...

LAT...LON   38179764 37139756 36999821 37059845 38279846 38319896
            38729907 38889881 38789810 38559768 38179764 

NNNN