ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 082145 
SPC MCD 082145 
NEZ000-082315-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0558
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0445 PM CDT SUN MAY 08 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF CENTRAL/EASTERN NEB

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE 

VALID 082145Z - 082315Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...60 PERCENT

SUMMARY...AT LEAST AN ISOLATED SEVERE RISK MAY INCREASE THROUGH LATE
AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING ACROSS CENTRAL NEB AND EVENTUALLY PORTIONS
OF EASTERN NEB. MONITORING DEVELOPMENTAL TRENDS FOR A POSSIBLE
WATCH.

DISCUSSION...WHILE CLOUD COVER PERSISTS ALONG/NORTH OF A
SLOW-NORTHWARD-SHIFTING WARM FRONT...THE BOUNDARY LAYER HAS
GRADUALLY DESTABILIZED SINCE MID-AFTERNOON ACROSS CENTRAL NEB...WITH
MIDDLE 50S F SURFACE DEWPOINTS APPEARING TO CONTRIBUTE TO AS MUCH AS
1500 J/KG MLCAPE ACROSS CENTRAL NEB. ONE STORM HAS RECENTLY
INTENSIFIED NEAR THE LEXINGTON NEB VICINITY AS OF 2120Z. AS FURTHER
DESTABILIZATION OCCURS /ALBEIT MODEST IN MANY RESPECTS/...ADDITIONAL
STORM DEVELOPMENT WILL LIKELY BE AIDED BY A NORTHEASTWARD-SPREADING
MID-LEVEL IMPULSE OVER NORTHWEST/WEST-CENTRAL KS. AT THE VERY
LEAST...WITH SUPERCELL-SUPPORTIVE VERTICAL SHEAR...ISOLATED/EPISODIC
SEVERE HAIL APPEARS LIKELY ESPECIALLY ACROSS CENTRAL NEB...AND
ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS AND/OR A TORNADO COULD OCCUR ACROSS
SOUTH-CENTRAL NEB.

..GUYER/CORFIDI.. 05/08/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...OAX...GID...LBF...

LAT...LON   40440063 41690035 42339943 42109876 41299701 40049680
            40319734 40440063 

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