ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL ACUS11 KWNS 080043 SPC MCD 080043 KYZ000-TNZ000-INZ000-ILZ000-080245- MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0552 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0743 PM CDT SAT MAY 07 2016 AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...SOUTHERN INDIANA...AND NORTHERN/CENTRAL KENTUCKY CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 145...147... VALID 080043Z - 080245Z THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 145...147...CONTINUES. SUMMARY...A VERY ISOLATED SEVERE THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...WHILE A MORE SUBSTANTIAL SEVERE THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS SOUTHERN INDIANA AND NORTHERN KENTUCKY. WW 147 CONTINUES... DISCUSSION...SOUTHEASTWARD-MOVING COMPLEX OF THUNDERSTORMS HAS CONTINUED TO PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS EXCEEDING 60 MPH IN SOUTHEASTERN ILLINOIS AND SOUTHERN INDIANA OVER THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS. LATEST OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS SUGGESTS THAT THESE STORMS ARE MOVING INTO AN AXIS OF WEAK TO MODERATE INSTABILITY /AROUND 1000-1250 J/KG OF INSTABILITY/ AND 40-50 KNOTS OF DEEP SHEAR...WHICH WILL FAVOR COMPLEX ORGANIZATION AND AN ATTENDANT SEVERE THREAT. LATEST INDICATIONS ARE THAT THESE STORMS WILL THREATEN THE LOUISVILLE METRO AREA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS...WITH DAMAGING WIND GUSTS REMAINING THE PRIMARY THREAT. FARTHER WEST...WEAKER ELEVATED CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED...BUT STRUGGLED TO MAINTAIN ORGANIZATION FROM NEAR WASHINGTON/JEFFERSON COUNTIES IN ILLINOIS NORTHWEST TO NEAR LINCOLN COUNTY MISSOURI. THE STORMS ARE LESS INTENSE THAN ACTIVITY FARTHER EAST. CONVECTIVE TRENDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED...BUT THE REMAINDER OF WW 145 CAN BE CANCELLED AT THIS TIME DUE TO THE LESSENED THREAT. ..COOK/CORFIDI.. 05/08/2016 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT... ATTN...WFO...MRX...JKL...LMK...OHX...IND...PAH...ILX...LSX... LAT...LON 37488808 37698858 38018908 38308932 38488939 38568934 38608897 38618867 38748824 38898805 38998771 39018740 39058698 38888635 38628577 38348494 38058447 37588422 37188413 36788416 36558426 36538466 36688529 36778587 36788653 37038726 37248772 37488808 NNNN