ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 072337 
SPC MCD 072337 
KSZ000-NEZ000-COZ000-080100-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0550
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0637 PM CDT SAT MAY 07 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...FAR SOUTHWEST NEB/WESTERN KS

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 144...

VALID 072337Z - 080100Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 144
CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...THE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE HAIL AND POSSIBLY A
TORNADO/LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS WILL EXIST THROUGH EARLY/MID-EVENING
MAINLY ACROSS FAR SOUTHWEST NEB /AND POSSIBLY EXTREME NORTHWEST
KS/...WHILE OTHER MORE ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS COULD YET
DEVELOP EARLY THIS EVENING ACROSS WEST-CENTRAL/SOUTHWEST KS. SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WATCH 144 CONTINUES UNTIL 03Z.

DISCUSSION...TO THE IMMEDIATE WEST OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
144...A COUPLE OF SUPERCELLS ARE ONGOING ACROSS NORTHEAST CO IN
YUMA/PHILLIPS COUNTIES. THESE STORMS SHOULD GENERALLY STAY
SOUTH/WEST OF THE NEB AND KS BORDERS...BUT ADDITIONAL
EASTERN-PERIPHERAL DEVELOPMENT COULD OCCUR OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
HOURS ESPECIALLY INTO FAR SOUTHWEST NEB ALONG/NORTH OF A WEST-EAST
FRONT.

FARTHER SOUTH...ALONG THE SOUTHWARD-EXTENDING DRYLINE...OTHER
HIGH-BASED STORMS HAVE DEVELOPED OVER THE PAST HOUR /SINCE 2215Z/
BUT HAVE NOT REMAINED PARTICULARLY INTENSE/SUSTAINED ACROSS
WEST-CENTRAL/SOUTHWEST KS IN THE WESTERNMOST TWO-TIERS OF COUNTIES.
IT APPEARS THAT MODEST BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE...WITH LOWER 50S F
SURFACE DEWPOINTS WITH 30-DEGREE F TEMPERATURE/DEWPOINT
SPREADS...AND WEAK NEAR-SURFACE CONVERGENCE /SOUTHERLY WINDS
PREVALENT EAST AND WEST OF THE DRYLINE/ HAVE LIMITED VIGOROUS
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT THUS FAR. EVEN SO...GIVEN 1000-1500 J/KG
MLCAPE AND STRONG DEEP-LAYER SHEAR...THE POTENTIAL STILL EXISTS FOR
LARGE HAIL/LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS THROUGH EARLY EVENING IF/WHERE
ISOLATED HIGH-BASED STORMS DEVELOP AND REMAIN SUSTAINED.

..GUYER.. 05/07/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...GID...LBF...DDC...GLD...BOU...

LAT...LON   40580206 40550038 39409992 37100069 37850177 39820196
            40580206 

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