ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 040829 
SPC MCD 040829 
FLZ000-041030-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0541
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0329 AM CDT WED MAY 04 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL FL

CONCERNING...01Z OUTLOOK UPGRADE 

VALID 040829Z - 041030Z

SUMMARY...A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS MAY SHIFT FARTHER INLAND
FROM THE NORTHEAST GULF. AREA IS UPGRADED TO MARGINAL RISK THROUGH
THE REST OF THE CURRENT OUTLOOK PERIOD ENDING AT 12Z. MAIN HAZARD
SHOULD BE HAIL.

DISCUSSION...A CORRIDOR OF STORMS HAVE FORMED WITHIN A MODEST WARM
CONVEYOR DOWNSTREAM OF A LEAD SHORTWAVE IMPULSE OVER THE EASTERN
GULF AND SPREAD INTO HERNANDO/CITRUS COUNTIES. THE LEAD CELLS HAVE
ALREADY SPLIT...INDICATIVE OF THE STRONG SPEED SHEAR AND
STRAIGHT-LINE HODOGRAPHS IN THE MID/UPPER-LEVELS. SETUP SHOULD FAVOR
ISOLATED SEVERE HAIL AS THE PRIMARY RISK. WHILE MODEST LOW-LEVEL
SHEAR PER TAMPA BAY VWP DATA SHOULD TEMPER THE LONGEVITY/STRENGTH OF
LOWER-LEVEL ROTATION...PRESENCE OF LOWER 70S SURFACE DEW POINTS
COULD FOSTER A THREAT FOR LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS AND EVEN A BRIEF
TORNADO.

..GRAMS/GOSS.. 05/04/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MLB...TBW...JAX...

LAT...LON   29018276 29438165 29538106 29028062 28448046 27918048
            27578116 27268238 27408282 28658287 29018276 

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