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Mesoscale Discussion 540 |
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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0540
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0539 PM CDT TUE MAY 03 2016
AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF THE FL PENINSULA...SOUTHERN/EASTERN
GA...AND SOUTHERN SC
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 141...
VALID 032239Z - 040015Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 141
CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...A THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED LARGE HAIL WILL
CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. HOWEVER...THE OVERALL SEVERE
THREAT SHOULD GRADUALLY DIMINISH BY LATER THIS EVENING.
DISCUSSION...SEVERAL STRONG/SEVERE CONVECTIVE CLUSTERS AND LINEAR
SEGMENTS CONTINUE ACROSS WATCH 141 EARLY THIS EVENING. THE MAIN
THREAT WITH THESE /AS WELL AS ANY NEW DEVELOPMENT/ SHOULD CONTINUE
TO BE DAMAGING WINDS AND SOME LARGE HAIL. MERGING CLUSTERS/COLD
POOLS AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT /STRETCHING ACROSS THE FL PANHANDLE
AND GA/ AND ALONG NORTHWARD-PROGRESSING OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES WILL
LOCALLY ENHANCE THE STRONG-WIND THREAT. THE TORNADO THREAT APPEARS
QUITE LOW DUE TO WEAK LOW-LEVEL WINDS...AND THE GENERAL CONVECTIVE
MODE SHOULD CONTINUE TO BE MULTICELL IN NATURE. OVER TIME...CELLS
SHOULD CONTINUE MOVING EAST INTO AN ENVIRONMENT OF WEAKER BACKGROUND
SHEAR...RESULTING IN A WEAKENING TREND LATER THIS EVENING.
MOREOVER...BOUNDARY-LAYER COOLING AND CONVECTIVE OVERTURNING SHOULD
ACCELERATE THIS TREND.
..PICCA.. 05/03/2016
ATTN...WFO...CHS...CAE...JAX...FFC...TAE...
LAT...LON 30878594 31698472 32948255 33208004 33187974 33087958
32717963 31958044 31168105 30738149 30378345 30128495
30508565 30878594
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