MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0507
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0856 PM CDT FRI APR 29 2016

   AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF EASTERN TX...NORTHERN LA...SOUTHERN AR

   CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 124...125...

   VALID 300156Z - 300330Z

   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 124...125...CONTINUES.

   SUMMARY...THE POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS...A FEW LARGE HAIL
   REPORTS...AND A TORNADO OR TWO WILL LIKELY CONTINUE AFTER THE 03Z
   EXPIRATION OF WATCHES 124/125. AS SUCH...A NEW WATCH WILL LIKELY BE
   COORDINATED WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR.

   DISCUSSION...SEVERAL CLUSTERS AND SMALL LINEAR SEGMENTS /WITH
   OCCASIONAL EMBEDDED SUPERCELL STRUCTURES/ CONTINUE ACROSS WATCHES
   124/125 THIS EVENING...AIDED BY CONTINUED WARM-AIR ADVECTION WITHIN
   MOIST/CONFLUENT FLOW. WHILE UPSCALE GROWTH AND CELL MERGERS WILL
   DECREASE THE TORNADO THREAT GRADUALLY...MOIST LOW LEVELS AND
   SUFFICIENT EFFECTIVE SRH WILL MAINTAIN THE POTENTIAL FOR A TORNADO
   OR TWO. THE MAIN THREAT WILL LIKELY TRANSITION TO DAMAGING WIND
   GUSTS...AS CELL MERGERS AND SMALL BOWING SEGMENTS LOCALLY ENHANCE
   THE STRONG-WIND POTENTIAL. AS CELLS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ALONG
   THE SOUTHERN FLANKS OF THE ONGOING LINE SEGMENTS/CLUSTERS OVER THE
   NEXT FEW HOURS...A NEW WATCH WILL LIKELY BE COORDINATED WITHIN THE
   NEXT HOUR.

   ..PICCA.. 04/30/2016


   ATTN...WFO...JAN...LZK...LCH...SHV...TSA...HGX...FWD...

   LAT...LON   30449682 31139691 31219688 32649634 32719630 33859557
               34019386 33879275 33749212 32629205 31599259 30739502
               30449682