ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 292129 
SPC MCD 292129 
ALZ000-MSZ000-292300-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0503
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0429 PM CDT FRI APR 29 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF FAR EASTERN MS AND NORTHERN/CENTRAL AL

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 

VALID 292129Z - 292300Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT

SUMMARY...A CLUSTER OF STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO POSE A THREAT FOR A
FEW STRONG WIND GUSTS AND A LARGE HAIL REPORT OR TWO. HOWEVER...THE
LIMITED NATURE OF THE THREAT PRECLUDES WATCH ISSUANCE.

DISCUSSION...A QUASI-LINEAR COMPLEX OF STRONG TO OCCASIONALLY SEVERE
STORMS CONTINUES EAST/SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS FAR EASTERN MS AND
NORTHERN/CENTRAL AL. THESE STORMS SHOULD GENERALLY FOLLOW AN
INSTABILITY AXIS TO THEIR EAST/SOUTHEAST...WHERE PRIOR SFC HEATING
HAS PROMOTED STEEPENED LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND AN ENVIRONMENT
FAVORABLE FOR STRONG WIND GUSTS. ADDITIONALLY...ADVECTION OF
WARM/MOIST AIR IS FAVORING PROPAGATION ALONG THE SOUTHERN END OF THE
COMPLEX. MERGING COLD POOLS AND ANY EMBEDDED ROTATING ELEMENTS WILL
FAVOR POCKETS OF GUSTY WINDS OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. HOWEVER...THE
THREAT SHOULD SLOWLY DIMINISH AS BOUNDARY-LAYER STABILIZATION OCCURS
AND CELLS BECOME MORE OUTFLOW-DOMINANT THIS EVENING.

..PICCA/HART.. 04/29/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...MEG...JAN...

LAT...LON   33558867 34368772 34778725 34608620 34348588 33488576
            32758674 32708804 32898857 33298872 33558867 

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