MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0500
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0334 PM CDT FRI APR 29 2016

   AREAS AFFECTED...N-CNTRL/CNTRL TX

   CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 124...

   VALID 292034Z - 292200Z

   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 124 CONTINUES.

   SUMMARY...SEVERE TSTMS CAPABLE OF ALL SEVERE HAZARDS ARE EXPECTED TO
   PERSIST ACROSS THE WATCH AREA FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.

   DISCUSSION...REGIONAL RADAR IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW NUMEROUS
   SEVERE TSTMS ACROSS THE REGION AMIDST THE VERY MOIST AIRMASS IN
   PLACE. THE STRONGEST SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN N OF THE AREA BUT
   STRONG INSTABILITY /MLCAPE AROUND 3000 J PER KG/ AND SUFFICIENT
   SHEAR WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT STRONG UPDRAFTS CAPABLE OF LARGE
   HAIL...DAMAGING WIND GUSTS...AND POSSIBLE TORNADOES. STORMS WITH THE
   BEST SUPERCELL CHARACTERISTICS ARE IN JACK AND WISE COUNTIES...AT
   THE EDGE OF THE STRONGER SHEAR. RADAR IMAGERY SEEMS TO INDICATE MUCH
   OF THE OTHER ACTIVITY ALONG AND JUST AHEAD OF THE DRYLINE IS
   SLIGHTLY ELEVATED. HOWEVER...AS LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE INCREASES AND
   UPDRAFTS STRENGTHEN...A TRANSITION TO MORE SURFACE-BASED APPEARS
   LIKELY. 

   MOST OF THE ACTIVITY E OF I-35 WAS INITIATED WITHIN THE VERY MOIST
   WAA REGIME. WIND PROFILE HERE IS EVEN WEAKER THAN AREAS FARTHER W
   WITH A PRIMARY OF THREAT OF SVR HAIL.

   ..MOSIER.. 04/29/2016


   ATTN...WFO...HGX...FWD...OUN...EWX...SJT...

   LAT...LON   30999870 33709815 33709556 31009615 30999870