ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 261218 
SPC MCD 261218 
MOZ000-KSZ000-261345-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0451
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0718 AM CDT TUE APR 26 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...NORTHWEST TO CENTRAL MO...NORTHEAST KS

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 104...105...

VALID 261218Z - 261345Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
104...105...CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...MCS OVER NORTHEAST KS SHOULD ACCELERATE EAST-SOUTHEAST
ACROSS THE LOWER MO VALLEY THROUGH LATE MORNING. A SWATH OF SEVERE
WIND/HAIL APPEARS LIKELY...INCLUDING NORTHERN PARTS OF THE KANSAS
CITY METRO AREA THROUGH MID-MORNING.

DISCUSSION...LONGER-LIVED SUPERCELL EMBEDDED WITHIN AN MCS RECENTLY
EVOLVED INTO AN ACCELERATING SMALL-SCALE BOW ECHO OVER
NEMAHA/JACKSON/BROWN COUNTY KS...WITH SEVERAL DOWNSTREAM UPDRAFTS
ALONG THE NORTHEAST KS/NORTHWEST MO BORDER AREA. THESE CELLS SHOULD
CONTINUE TO AMALGAMATE ALONG THE QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT DRAPED
ACROSS NORTHERN MO. FLANKING DEVELOPMENT FORCED BY THE REMNANT
EASTERN BRANCH OF THE LLJ AND FORWARD PROPAGATION SHOULD RESULT IN
LARGE-SCALE MOTION TO THE EAST-SOUTHEAST TOWARDS CENTRAL MO ALONG
THE MUCAPE GRADIENT. OVERALL SCENARIO REMAINS SUPPORTIVE OF A MIX OF
SEVERE WIND/HAIL EVENTS WITHIN A SWATH THAT SHOULD INCLUDE AT LEAST
NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE KANSAS CITY METRO AREA.

..GRAMS.. 04/26/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LSX...SGF...EAX...TOP...

LAT...LON   39819561 40029516 40119464 39929337 39679235 39409201
            39079202 38779212 38599229 38529282 38659351 38789430
            39029501 39249553 39509570 39819561 

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