ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 170701 
SPC MCD 170701 
TXZ000-170800-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0404
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0201 AM CDT SUN APR 17 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF NRN AND CNTRL TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 96...

VALID 170701Z - 170800Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 96
CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...A FEW STRONG WIND GUSTS ARE STILL POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF
CENTRAL TX EAST OF THE PECOS. FURTHER NORTH INTO N-CNTRL TX...THE
OVERALL SEVERE THREAT IS DIMINISHING AND WW 96 COULD BE CANCELED
EARLY.

DISCUSSION...STRONG SHEAR AND WEAK INSTABILITY WILL MAINTAIN THE
EASTWARD PROPAGATING LINE OF STORMS FROM NORTHERN INTO CENTRAL TX
THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. HOWEVER...INCREASING INHIBITION
WITH EASTWARD EXTENT AND EVIDENCE OF OUTFLOW OUTPACING CONVECTION
WILL LIMIT OVERALL SEVERE CONCERNS...THOUGH A FEW STRONG GUSTS MAY
STILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE SHORT-TERM. AHEAD OF THE LINE...A FEW MORE
ISOLATED CELLS CONTINUED TO THE WEST OF THE FWD METROPLEX. THESE
CELLS HAVE WEAKENED OVER THE LAST 30 MINUTES OR SO AND THIS TREND IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE. GIVEN THE DIMINISHING SEVERE THREAT...WW 96
COULD BE CANCELLED BEFORE THE 12Z EXPIRATION TIME...ESPECIALLY
ACROSS NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE WATCH AREA.

..LEITMAN.. 04/17/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...EWX...SJT...

LAT...LON   33029910 33459901 33459738 32969751 30699903 30339969
            30270099 30460156 30970089 32019987 33029910 

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