ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 170348 
SPC MCD 170348 
TXZ000-OKZ000-170545-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0402
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1048 PM CDT SAT APR 16 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...WESTERN NORTH TX AND SOUTHWEST OK

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 95...

VALID 170348Z - 170545Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 95
CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...THE THREAT FOR STORMS PRODUCING PRIMARILY DAMAGING WINDS
AND/OR HAIL CONTINUES ACROSS WESTERN NORTH TX AND FAR SOUTHWEST OK
THROUGH LATE THIS EVENING TO THE EARLY OVERNIGHT.

DISCUSSION...MOSAIC RADAR IMAGERY SHOWED STORMS HAD EVOLVED INTO A
LINEAR STORM MODE FROM FAR SOUTHWEST OK /EASTERN GREER AND WESTERN
JACKSON COUNTIES/ INTO HARDEMAN AND WESTERN FOARD COUNTIES TX. 
MEANWHILE...SOME SEMI-DISCRETE AND CLUSTERS OF STORMS WERE TRACKING
NORTHWARD THROUGH THE NORTHERN AND EASTERN PARTS OF WW 95. 
ADDITIONAL STORMS WERE INCREASING IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY TO THE
SOUTH/SOUTHEAST OF WW 95 IN PALO PINTO AND ERATH COUNTIES TX.  THESE
LATTER STORMS SHOULD MOVE INTO THE SOUTHEAST PORTION OF THE WATCH BY
0430Z.

THE NORTHERN EXTENT OF A SEVERE-WEATHER THREAT INTO THE EARLY
OVERNIGHT IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN WITHIN WW 95...AS A CONTINUED INFLUX
OF MOISTURE/INSTABILITY PER STRENGTHENING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTERLY
LOW-LEVEL WINDS PERSISTS.  THIS PROCESS SHOULD COMPENSATE FOR
ONGOING DIURNAL STABILIZATION FROM NORTH-SOUTH...WHILE EFFECTIVE
BULK SHEAR REMAINS SUFFICIENTLY STRONG FOR STORM ORGANIZATION.

..PETERS.. 04/17/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...LUB...AMA...

LAT...LON   35049999 35139943 35119866 34879834 34839809 34169809
            33489793 33409859 33429998 34060005 35049999 

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