ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 170127 
SPC MCD 170127 
OKZ000-TXZ000-170230-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0400
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0827 PM CDT SAT APR 16 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...TX LOW ROLLING PLAINS THROUGH EASTERN TX/OK
PANHANDLES

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 93...

VALID 170127Z - 170230Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 93 CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...ALL SEVERE-WEATHER HAZARDS...INCLUDING A TORNADO
THREAT...REMAIN LIKELY BEYOND THE SCHEDULED 02Z EXPIRATION TIME FOR
THE SOUTHEAST CORNER OF WW 93 /EAST OF A LINE FROM GARZA/CROSBY TO
MOTLEY COUNTIES TX/.  LOCAL WFO TEMPORAL EXTENSION OF WW 93 MAY BE
REQUIRED.  ELSEWHERE...THE OVERALL SEVERE-WEATHER THREAT WILL
CONTINUE TO DIMINISH ACROSS THE TX AND OK PANHANDLES THIS EVENING.

DISCUSSION...MOSAIC RADAR TRENDS SHOWED A CONTINUED INCREASE IN
THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE FROM SOUTHWEST TX INTO THE LOW ROLLING PLAINS
OF NORTHWEST TX THIS EVENING...WITHIN A LOW-LEVEL CONFLUENCE ZONE. 
THE NORTHEAST EXTENT OF THESE STORMS LOCATED ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST
CORNER OF WW 93 WILL CONTINUE TO ENCOUNTER A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT
/MODERATELY MOIST/UNSTABLE BOUNDARY LAYER AND VERTICALLY VEERING
WINDS/ FOR ADDITIONAL STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS.  ALL SEVERE HAZARDS
WILL REMAIN A POTENTIAL THREAT IN THIS PART OF WW 93 BEYOND 02Z. 
MEANWHILE...ADDITIONAL STORMS THAT DEVELOP WITHIN AN AREA OF
DEEP-LAYER ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH LOW-LEVEL WAA AND A
POLEWARD-MOVING SHORTWAVE TROUGH THROUGH THE TX PANHANDLE TO WESTERN
KS WILL HAVE A LOW SEVERE POTENTIAL...AS THEIR INFLOW TO GREATER
MOISTURE/INSTABILITY WILL REMAIN CUT OFF BY STORMS IN NORTHWEST TX.

..PETERS.. 04/17/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...OUN...SJT...LUB...AMA...

LAT...LON   33000157 34300156 35120150 35550143 36100114 36710092
            36960088 36990001 36219996 34939998 34229999 32950000
            33000157 

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