ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 130406 
SPC MCD 130406 
TXZ000-130600-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0376
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1106 PM CDT TUE APR 12 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...SCNTRL AND SE TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY 

VALID 130406Z - 130600Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 PERCENT

SUMMARY...A SEVERE THREAT IS LIKELY TO CONTINUE...MOVING EWD FROM
SCNTRL TX INTO SE TX OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. WIND DAMAGE AND HAIL
WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREATS. WW ISSUANCE WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED
WITHIN THE HOUR.

DISCUSSION...LATEST SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS A QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT
LOCATED FROM SCNTRL TX EXTENDING ENEWD ACROSS SE TX. A
MULTI-SEGMENTED LINE WITH A BOWING STRUCTURE AND EMBEDDED SUPERCELL
IS LOCATED TO THE ENE OF SAN ANTONIO. THIS LINE WILL CONTINUE TO
MOVE EWD INTO SE TX OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS...REMAINING PARALLEL TO
THE FRONT NEAR AND ON THE COOL SIDE OF THE BOUNDARY. ALTHOUGH
INSTABILITY IS WEAK IN THE HOUSTON AREA...THE LATEST HGX WSR-88D VWP
SHOWS 65 TO 70 KT OF 0-6 KM SHEAR WITH SUBSTANTIAL DIRECTIONAL SHEAR
FROM 0 TO 3 KM AGL. THIS WIND PROFILE WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR BOWING
LINE SEGMENTS WITH WIND DAMAGE AND POSSIBLY SUPERCELL STRUCTURES.
THE STRONG DEEP-LAYER SHEAR COMBINED WITH MODESTLY STEEP LAPSE RATES
MAY ALSO BE ENOUGH FOR HAIL WITH THE MORE INTENSE CORES.

..BROYLES/THOMPSON.. 04/13/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...HGX...CRP...EWX...

LAT...LON   28739577 28589733 29079751 29699735 30119672 30319542
            29729468 28739577 

NNNN