ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 010226 
SPC MCD 010226 
MSZ000-LAZ000-010300-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0319
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0926 PM CDT THU MAR 31 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL MS

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 70...

VALID 010226Z - 010300Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 70 CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...A MARGINAL SEVERE HAIL RISK MAY PERSIST FOR A COUPLE MORE
HOURS WITHIN REMAINING PORTIONS OF WW 70. AN ADDITIONAL WW ISSUANCE
DOES NOT APPEAR NEEDED AFTER 03Z SCHEDULED EXPIRATION BUT A LOCAL
EXTENSION IS POSSIBLE.

DISCUSSION...LARGE-SCALE CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW IS DRAPED ACROSS CNTRL
MS IN THE WAKE OF AN MCS THAT IS PREDOMINATELY WITHIN AL. ADDITIONAL
STORMS HAVE PERSISTED ALONG THE MERGER OF THIS OUTFLOW AND
CONVECTION AHEAD OF A SLOW-MOVING COLD FRONT. WHILE LOW-LEVEL WINDS
ARE VEERED...DEEP-LAYER SPEED SHEAR REMAINS MODERATELY STRONG. WITH
UPSTREAM 00Z RAOBS /LIX AND LCH/ SAMPLING 700-500 MB LAPSE RATES
NEAR 8 DEG C/KM...THE RISK FOR MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL MAY CONTINUE
FOR AN HOUR OR SO BEYOND THE 03Z SCHEDULED WW EXPIRATION.

..GRAMS.. 04/01/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...JAN...

LAT...LON   32639070 32708979 32598862 32418850 32148856 32168901
            32189074 32259106 32399106 32639070 

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