ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 251852 
SPC MCD 251852 
FLZ000-252115-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0273
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0152 PM CDT FRI MAR 25 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN FL

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 

VALID 251852Z - 252115Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT

SUMMARY...ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT
PORTIONS OF SERN AND E CNTRL FL LATER TODAY...WITH LARGE HAIL AND
LOCALIZED WIND DAMAGE POSSIBLE.

DISCUSSION...AN E-W BOUNDARY CURRENTLY EXISTS ACROSS SRN FL AND IS
GRADUALLY LIFTING/MIXING NWD WITH AN INFLUX OF NEAR 70 F DEWPOINTS.
MEANWHILE...TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO WARM INTO THE 80S WHICH SHOULD
ALLOW FOR PARCELS TO EASILY REACH THE LFC GIVEN SUFFICIENT LIFT.

DEEPER CONVECTION IS ALREADY DEVELOPING ALONG THE E COAST SEA BREEZE
AND INTERSECTION OF THE MAIN FRONT. WITH TIME...A FEW RELATIVELY
HIGH-TOPPED STORMS WILL DEVELOP...SUPPORTED BY FAVORABLE LAPSE RATES
ALOFT AND MODEST MID TO UPPER LEVEL SHEAR. WEAK WINDS IN THE
LOW-LEVELS SUGGEST PERHAPS SPLITTING CELLS...AND HAIL WILL BE A
DISTINCT POSSIBILITY. COLD DOWNDRAFTS MAY ALSO YIELD LOCALIZED WIND
DAMAGE. AT THIS TIME...SEVERE COVERAGE IS EXPECTED TO BE TOO SPARSE
FOR A WATCH.

..JEWELL/THOMPSON.. 03/25/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MFL...MLB...TBW...

LAT...LON   25937994 25698008 25638041 25818058 26428080 27378101
            28038109 28498085 28528048 27578016 26957988 26697987
            25937994 

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