ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 251201 
SPC MCD 251201 
MEZ000-NHZ000-251600-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0272
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0701 AM CDT FRI MAR 25 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...NERN VT...SOUTHWEST THROUGH DOWNEAST MAINE

CONCERNING...FREEZING RAIN 

VALID 251201Z - 251600Z

SUMMARY...FREEZING RAIN...MIXED AT TIMES WITH SLEET...WILL SPREAD
EAST THROUGH MID MORNING. RATES EXCEEDING 0.05 INCHES/3 HOURS CAN BE
EXPECTED.

DISCUSSION...REGIONAL RADAR COMPOSITE IMAGERY AT 1140Z DEPICTS AN
AREA OF PRECIPITATION...MOSTLY IN THE FORM OF FREEZING
RAIN...EXPANDING EAST OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN VERMONT AND
SOUTHWESTERN MAINE. STRONG WARM ADVECTION AT 850 MB CONTINUES TO
PROVIDE THE LARGE SCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT FOR THIS
PRECIPITATION...AND RAP FORECAST SOUNDINGS THROUGH MID MORNING
REFLECT AN INCREASING WARM NOSE DEPTH SUPPORTIVE OF FREEZING RAIN
MIXED AT TIMES WITH SLEET. RATES IN EXCESS OF 0.05 INCHES/3 HOURS
CAN BE EXPECTED AS THIS AREA OF MIXED PRECIPITATION EXPANDS EAST
THROUGH 15Z. THIS SCENARIO IS SUPPORTED BY RECENT HI-RES MODEL AND
03Z SREF GUIDANCE.

..BUNTING.. 03/25/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CAR...GYX...

LAT...LON   43827098 43957140 45037119 45277083 45677004 45856956
            45856857 45846781 45656779 45566743 45286746 45226750
            45146769 45066785 43827098 

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