ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 231033 
SPC MCD 231033 
COZ000-NEZ000-WYZ000-231530-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0250
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0533 AM CDT WED MAR 23 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...NCNTRL AND NERN CO THROUGH EXTREME SERN WY

CONCERNING...BLIZZARD 

VALID 231033Z - 231530Z

SUMMARY...HEAVY SNOW WITH BLIZZARD CONDITIONS IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
ACROSS NERN CO THROUGH THE MORNING. SNOWFALL RATES COULD LOCALLY
EXCEED 1 INCH PER HOUR AT TIMES.

DISCUSSION...MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW ALONG THE FRONT RANGE OF CO IS
EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY SPREAD EWD INTO A PORTION OF THE CO HIGH
PLAINS DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. SFC MAP SHOWS A
QUASISTATIONARY FRONT FROM NRN KS WSWWD TO A SFC LOW NEAR THE CO/KS
BORDER. SFC LOW WILL GRADUALLY DEVELOP EWD ALONG BAROCLINIC ZONE IN
RESPONSE TO A PROGRESSIVE UPPER JET...WITH A STRONG PRESSURE
GRADIENT AND BARRIER JET BECOMING ESTABLISHED AS HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS SWD EAST OF FRONT RANGE THIS MORNING...CONTRIBUTING TO STRONG
GRADIENT WINDS IN LOWEST 3 KM. WV IMAGERY IMPLIES BELT OF DEEP
ASCENT CURRENTLY OVER NCNTRL CO...BUT THIS ZONE OF ASCENT WILL
SPREAD EWD THROUGH NERN CO DURING THE MORNING AS UPPER JET EXIT
REGION EMERGES OVER THE HIGH PLAINS. NEAR-SFC TEMPERATURES WILL FALL
TO AOB 0 C OVER NERN CO IN RESPONSE TO BOTH COLD ADVECTION AND
DYNAMIC COOLING...RESULTING IN PRECIPITATION TRANSITIONING TO ALL
SNOW. IN ADDITION TO STRONG MESOSCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT...SOME
CONVECTIVE ENHANCEMENT MAY ALSO OCCUR. BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL
LIKELY EVOLVE OVER NERN CO LATER THIS MORNING AS GRADIENT WINDS
INCREASE.

..DIAL.. 03/23/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...PUB...BOU...CYS...

LAT...LON   39200493 39910551 40530570 41080533 41140435 40870366
            40450342 39880350 39420380 39060440 39200493 

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