ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 242006 
SPC MCD 242006 
NJZ000-PAZ000-MDZ000-DEZ000-VAZ000-DCZ000-242100-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0149
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0206 PM CST WED FEB 24 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF NORTHERN VA/DC METRO AND
MD/DE/NJ/SOUTHEAST PA

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...TORNADO WATCH LIKELY 

VALID 242006Z - 242100Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...95 PERCENT

SUMMARY...UPDATING AN EARLIER MESOSCALE DISCUSSION /145/...A TORNADO
WATCH WILL BE ISSUED SOON ACROSS NORTHERN VA/DC METRO AND PORTIONS
OF MD/DE INTO NJ/SOUTHEAST PA. THE TORNADO RISK WILL CONTINUE WILL
GRADUALLY INCREASE/SPREAD NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE REGION
THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING.

DISCUSSION...THE NEAR-SURFACE FRONTAL WEDGE CONTINUES TO ABATE/SHIFT
NORTHWARD THIS AFTERNOON...WITH A WARM FRONT EFFECTIVELY EXTENDING
FROM THE DELMARVA PENINSULA SOUTHWESTWARD TO SOUTH-CENTRAL VA. AS
ADDITIONAL DESTABILIZATION OCCURS WITHIN A HIGHLY SHEARED
ENVIRONMENT...THE POTENTIAL FOR TORNADOES WILL INCREASE/SPREAD
NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING. THIS
INCLUDES THE POSSIBILITY OF A STRONG TORNADO OR TWO ESPECIALLY
ACROSS VA AND POSSIBLY INTERIOR MD PORTIONS OF THE WATCH.

..GUYER/GRAMS.. 02/24/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...PHI...AKQ...CTP...LWX...

LAT...LON   38157857 39497736 40587563 40027399 38427505 38027622
            38307730 38157857 

NNNN