MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0089
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0429 PM CST WED FEB 03 2016

   AREAS AFFECTED...SERN GA / SC LOW COUNTRY

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 

   VALID 032229Z - 032330Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...THE POTENTIAL FOR A SUPERCELL TORNADO OR TWO WILL CONTINUE
   OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR SO FROM SERN GA INTO THE LOWER SAVANNAH RIVER
   VALLEY.

   DISCUSSION...RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS A CLUSTER OF SUPERCELLS OVER SERN
   GA AND NEARING THE GREATER SAV AREA AHEAD OF A SEWD-SAGGING QLCS. 
   STRONG DEEP-LAYER SHEAR COUPLED WITH SUFFICIENT BUOYANCY WILL
   SUPPORT UPDRAFT ROTATION WITH THE STRONGER CELLS OVER THE NEXT 1-2
   HOURS.  LOW-LEVEL MESOCYCLONE POTENTIAL WILL PROBABLY MAXIMIZE
   DURING THIS PERIOD OWING TO SURFACE OBSERVATIONS OF 80/70 ON THE
   IMMEDIATE INFLOW TO THE S OF THE ONGOING SUPERCELL CLUSTER BEFORE
   DIURNAL HEAT LOSS THIS EVENING.  AS STORMS TRACK NEWD TO THE
   SAVANNAH RIVER...COOLER TEMPS /LOW TO MID 70S/ MAY IN TURN PROVE
   LESS FAVORABLE BUOYANCY-WISE BUT ADEQUATELY LARGE CLOCKWISE-CURVED
   HODOGRAPHS /0-3 KM SRH AROUND 200 M2 PER S2 VIA THE KCLX VAD/ MAY
   ALLOW SOME TORNADO RISK TO MOVE INTO THE SC LOW COUNTRY VICINITY.

   ..SMITH/EDWARDS.. 02/03/2016


   ATTN...WFO...CHS...JAX...FFC...

   LAT...LON   31718259 32568128 32448095 32098085 31868103 31488238
               31718259