ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 221647 
SPC MCD 221647 
NCZ000-VAZ000-222245-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0050
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1047 AM CST FRI JAN 22 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL AND NRN NC...FAR SRN VA

CONCERNING...WINTER MIXED PRECIPITATION 

VALID 221647Z - 222245Z

SUMMARY...A MIX OF FREEZING RAIN...SLEET AND SNOW CAN BE EXPECTED
ACROSS CNTRL AND NRN NC INTO SRN VA THIS AFTERNOON. PRECIPITATION
RATES SHOULD REACH OR EXCEED 0.05 INCHES PER HOUR IN SOME AREAS.

DISCUSSION...LATEST WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOW AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW OVER
WRN KY WITH A SHORTWAVE TROUGH ROTATING AROUND THE ERN SIDE OF THE
SYSTEM EXTENDING FROM THE LOW CENTER SEWD ACROSS SC. WIDESPREAD
PRECIPITATION IS OCCURRING ALONG AND AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE ACROSS
THE CAROLINAS INTO VA WHERE STRONG LARGE-SCALE ASCENT IS PRESENT. AT
THE SFC...TEMPS ARE IN THE 25 TO 30 F RANGE ACROSS MOST OF THE MCD
AREA WITH FREEZING RAIN BEING REPORTED AT MANY LOCATIONS WITH SNOW
IN THE APPALACHIAN FOOTHILLS. SFC TEMPS SHOULD ONLY WARM A FEW
DEGREES F THIS AFTERNOON FROM CNTRL NC NWD INTO SRN VA ALLOWING MOST
AREAS TO REMAIN BELOW FREEZING. AS WARM ADVECTION CONTINUES TO OCCUR
IN THE LOW-LEVELS...FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE IN
THE PIEDMONT OF NC AND SRN VA. SNOW IS OCCURRING ACROSS THE
APPALACHIAN MTNS BUT SOME AREAS COULD CHANGEOVER TO SLEET AND
FREEZING RAIN THIS AFTERNOON AS MID-LEVEL TEMPS WARM. PRECIPITATION
RATES COULD EXCEED 0.05 INCHES PER HOUR WITHIN THE HEAVIER BANDS OF
PRECIPITATION.

..BROYLES.. 01/22/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...RAH...RNK...GSP...

LAT...LON   35887793 35597862 35277963 35188025 35258094 35398139
            35708149 35928144 36218114 36478070 36737953 36667761
            36457724 36067742 35887793 

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