ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 171702 
SPC MCD 171702 
VAZ000-NCZ000-171930-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0028
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1102 AM CST SUN JAN 17 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN VA...NERN NC

CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW 

VALID 171702Z - 171930Z

SUMMARY...LOCALLY HEAVY WET SNOW WITH RATES UP TO 1 IN/HR WILL
PERSIST FOR AN HOUR OR TWO BEFORE ENDING FROM W TO E...RESULTING IN
BRIEF ACCUMULATION WITH NEAR ISOTHERMAL LOW-LEVEL PROFILES NEAR
FREEZING.

DISCUSSION...RADAR TRENDS CONTINUE TO SHOW AN AREA OF BRIGHT BANDING
BETWEEN 2000-3000 FT AGL OFF THE AKQ RADAR WITH CORRELATION
COEFFICIENT PRODUCT DELINEATING A RAIN/RAIN-SNOW MIX TRANSITION ZONE
ROUGHLY NW OF AN NGU TO SFQ LINE AS OF 17Z. SE OF THIS LINE...MAINLY
RAIN IS EXPECTED EXCEPT FOR PERHAPS A BRIEF CHANGEOVER PRIOR TO THE
PRECIPITATION BAND WEAKENING.  NW OF THIS LINE...HEAVY WET SNOW
SHOULD PERSIST UNTIL RAPID DRYING FROM THE W EVENTUALLY SHUTS DOWN
THE DENDRITE PRODUCTION ALOFT.

..JEWELL.. 01/17/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...RAH...

LAT...LON   37597551 37037609 36277697 36197708 36187733 36217746
            36337757 36657752 37137706 37407658 37587623 37687597
            37657568 37597551 

NNNN