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Mesoscale Discussion 1677 |
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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1677
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0943 PM CDT THU AUG 13 2015
AREAS AFFECTED...SWRN NEB
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 487...
VALID 140243Z - 140345Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 487
CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...STORMS WILL POSE A THREAT FOR DAMAGING WIND AND LARGE HAIL
AS THEY CONTINUE SSEWD THROUGH SWRN/SCNTRL NEB THROUGH 03-04Z.
HOWEVER...AN OVERALL WEAKENING TREND IS ANTICIPATED...AND THE MORE
SUBSTANTIAL SEVERE THREAT IS NOT EXPECTED TO EXTEND BEYOND THE
NEB/KS BORDER.
DISCUSSION...ORGANIZED STORMS PERSIST OVER SWRN NEB WITH A BOWING
SEGMENT AND COMMA HEAD INDICATED MOVING INTO FRONTIER COUNTY. THIS
STORM LIKELY CONTAINS STRONG TO DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. RECENT SFC
ANALYSIS SHOWS TEMPERATURES FALLING INTO THE 70S F...AND AS STORMS
CONTINUE SWD THEY WILL ENCOUNTER WARMER AIR ALOFT WITH 13+ C
TEMPERATURES AT 700 MB. THOUGH STRONG FORCING ALONG THE SURGING
OUTFLOW BOUNDARY MAY SUSTAIN STORMS ANOTHER HOUR OR SO...THE
INCREASING CONVECTIVE INHIBITION SHOULD ULTIMATELY RESULT IN AN
OVERALL WEAKENING TREND.
..DIAL.. 08/14/2015
ATTN...WFO...GID...LBF...
LAT...LON 40550038 40799962 40479918 40179927 40229996 40550038
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