MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0941
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0740 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2011
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...FAR SERN VA...ERN NC
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE 
   
   VALID 250040Z - 250145Z
   
   CONVECTIVE TRENDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED OVER FAR SERN VA AND
   ERN NC FOR INCREASING SVR WEATHER THREAT DURING THE EVENING/EARLY
   NIGHT. A WW COULD BE NEEDED IF A BOWING MCS DEVELOPS.
   
   QLCS WAS LOCATED OVER SRN VA/NRN NC AT 0030Z...WITH THE LEADING EDGE
   BEGINNING TO ACCELERATE EWD AT CLOSE TO 40 KT. RUC FORECAST
   SOUNDINGS AND 00Z GSO AND MHX RAOBS INDICATE 1000-2500 J/KG OF
   MUCAPE LOCATED ABOVE A SLIGHTLY STABLE BOUNDARY LAYER. THIS
   INSTABILITY COMBINED WITH UPPER IMPULSE MOVING INTO WRN VA/NC MAY
   AID MCS MAINTENANCE INTO PART OF THE NIGHT AS THE SYSTEM APPROACHES
   PORTIONS OF SERN VA/ERN NC. GIVEN THE STABLE BOUNDARY LAYER
   PROFILES...IT IS UNCERTAIN WHETHER A DAMAGING WIND THREAT WILL
   PERSIST. HOWEVER...CONVECTIVE AND ENVIRONMENTAL TRENDS WILL CONTINUE
   TO BE MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF AN INCREASING SVR WEATHER THREAT.
   
   ..GARNER.. 05/25/2011
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...RNK...
   
   LAT...LON   35827907 37067850 37207690 36687589 35207607 35197787
               35827907