MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0609
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0912 PM CDT TUE APR 26 2011
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...SRN NY...NERN PA
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 
   
   VALID 270212Z - 270315Z
   
   SEMI-ORGANIZED CONVECTIVE LINE...WITH EMBEDDED MESOSCALE CIRCULATION
   ALONG THE NRN END OF THE LINE OVER OTSEGO COUNTY NY AND SMALL BOWING
   SEGMENTS ACROSS DELAWARE COUNTY NY AND LACKAWANNA COUNTY PA...WILL
   CONTINUE TO PROGRESS EWD. OUTFLOW IS STARTING TO OUTRUN CONVECTION
   ACROSS WAYNE COUNTIES...WHICH MAY SUGGEST SOME
   WEAKENING/DISORGANIZATION ACROSS THIS PORTION OF THE LINE.
   HOWEVER...EMBEDDED SMALL-SCALE CIRCULATIONS/BOWING SEGMENTS WILL
   HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE LOCALIZED DMGG WIND GUSTS AND PERHAPS
   A BRIEF TORNADO. AMPLE MOIST INFLOW REMAINS AVAILABLE IN THE
   IMMEDIATE DOWNSTREAM ENVIRONMENT...BUT FARTHER E DECREASING
   POTENTIAL INSTABILITY SHOULD ALLOW CONVECTION TO WEAKEN. A WW IS NOT
   ANTICIPATED DUE TO THE EXPECTED SHORT-TERM DURATION OF THE
   THREAT...BUT CONVECTIVE TRENDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED.
   
   ..ROGERS.. 04/27/2011
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...BOX...OKX...ALY...PHI...BGM...CTP...
   
   LAT...LON   42147286 41387330 40797418 40577541 40817632 41447630
               42157540 42887529 43087479 43037363 42787284 42637281
               42147286