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Mesoscale Discussion 821 |
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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0821
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0847 PM CDT SAT JUN 05 2010
AREAS AFFECTED...NERN IND / NWRN OH / EXTREME SRN LOWER MICH
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY
VALID 060147Z - 060245Z
A TORNADO WATCH IS LIKELY IN THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO DOWNSTREAM OF THE
ONGOING TORNADO WATCHES LOCATED IN IL AND NWRN IND. UPDRAFTS ARE
DEVELOPING IN NERN IND...IF THESE STORMS STRENGTHEN/DEEPEN AND
BECOME ORGANIZED...A TORNADO WATCH MAY BE NEEDED SOONER RATHER THAN
LATER TO ADDRESS AN ISOLD TORNADO THREAT ACROSS NERN IND...NWRN
OH...AND EXTREME SRN LOWER MICH.
LATEST VWP/VAD DATA FROM NRN IND SHOWS A VERY SUPPORTIVE SUPERCELL
WIND PROFILE /0-3 KM SRH 500 M2 PER S2/ IN PLACE ACROSS THE WARM
SECTOR OVER NRN IND S OF A WARM FRONT THAT IS LOCATED OVER SRN LOWER
MICH. KIWX RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS NEWLY DEVELOPED STORMS DEEPENING
WITH TIME...AS ECHO TOPS HAVE INCREASED IN HEIGHT AND LIGHTNING IS
NOW BEING OBSERVED AS OF 0135Z. THIS SMALL CLUSTER OF STORMS IS
LOCATED ALONG A DIFFUSE RESIDUAL BOUNDARY FROM PRIOR
CONVECTION....AND IS DELINEATING A WARM...MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS
TO THE S OVER IND AND A COOLER/LESS UNSTABLE AIRMASS IN SRN LOWER
MICH. IF THESE STORMS CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN AND INCREASE IN
VIGOR...A TORNADO WATCH MAY BE NEEDED AS SOON AS IN THE NEXT
HOUR--CONDITIONAL ON THE NERN IND STORM DEVELOPMENT.
..SMITH.. 06/06/2010
ATTN...WFO...CLE...ILN...DTX...IWX...IND...LOT...
LAT...LON 40318735 41718678 41908647 41958500 41818364 41508344
41018344 40628410 40288534 40318735
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