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Mesoscale Discussion 1180 |
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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1180
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0543 PM CDT WED JUN 17 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...NERN CO/SERN WY/NEB/NRN KS/SWRN IA/NWRN MO
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 440...445...
VALID 172243Z - 180015Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 440...445...CONTINUES.
ISOLATED STORM DEVELOPMENT IS ONGOING ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS
REGION...WHERE LOCAL SEVERE/TORNADO THREAT CONTINUES.
LATEST SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATES A WARM FRONT LYING ROUGHLY W-E
ACROSS THE CENTRAL THIRD OF KS...WITH A VERY UNSTABLE AIRMASS /3000
TO 5000 J/KG MIXED-LAYER CAPE/ NEAR AND N OF THIS BOUNDARY. EARLIER
CONVECTION OVER SERN SD/NERN KS CONTINUES MOVING ESEWD ACROSS NWRN
MO INTO TORNADO WATCH 443...BUT ISOLATED STORMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP
FARTHER W WITHIN SELY LOW-LEVEL FLOW FIELD N OF THE FRONT ACROSS
NERN CO/SERN WY AND EWD ACROSS NEB.
AS A SLY LOW-LEVEL JET INCREASES THIS EVENING AHEAD OF A MID-LEVEL
SHORT-WAVE TROUGH EJECTING NEWD FROM THE CENTRAL ROCKIES...STORM
COVERAGE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INCREASING. MODERATE WLYS AT
MID-LEVELS ATOP STRENGTHENING SLY LOW-LEVEL FLOW WILL RESULT IN
SHEAR INCREASINGLY-FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS...AND THUS THE
SEVERE/TORNADO THREAT SHOULD EXPAND WITH TIME ACROSS THIS REGION.
WITH THIS THREAT LIKELY TO INCREASE WITH TIME N OF THESE WATCHES --
I.E. ACROSS N CENTRAL AND NERN NEB AND INTO THE SERN QUARTER OF
SD...NEW TORNADO WATCH WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED IN THIS AREA.
..GOSS.. 06/17/2009
ATTN...WFO...DMX...EAX...FSD...OAX...TOP...ABR...GID...LBF...
UNR...GLD...PUB...BOU...CYS...
LAT...LON 41890523 42450231 42730138 43420039 43939570 41669372
39679427 39289917 39060515 40630562 41890523
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