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Mesoscale Discussion 770 |
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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0770
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0903 PM CDT FRI MAY 08 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...NRN AND CNTRL TX
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 272...
VALID 090203Z - 090400Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 272 CONTINUES.
SCATTERED SUPERCELLS HAVE FORMED ACROSS TOR WATCH 272 AND SHOULD
PERSIST FOR SEVERAL MORE HOURS. 00Z FWD SOUNDING SHOWED A TREMENDOUS
INSTABILITY PROFILE WITH MUCAPE NEAR 5000 J/KG AND MID LEVEL LAPSE
RATES NEAR DRY ADIABATIC.
ORIENTATION OF THE DEEP LAYER SHEAR VECTORS HAS ALLOWED STORMS TO
MOVE OFF THE INITIATION ZONE INTO THE WARM SECTOR. ALTHOUGH MID
LEVEL FLOW IS RATHER MODEST AT 20-30 KT...SEWD STORM MOTION INTO A
SLY 30 KT LOW LEVEL JET AS WELL AS STRONG INSTABILITY SHOULD ALLOW
CELLS TO PRODUCE SIG HAIL AND WIND FOR SEVERAL MORE HOURS. THE
TORNADO THREAT IS LIMITED LARGELY DUE TO MARGINAL LOW LEVEL
SHEAR...BUT AN ISOLATED TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT WITH THE
STRONGER CELLS.
..JEWELL.. 05/09/2009
ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...EWX...SJT...MAF...
LAT...LON 30919838 30939961 31089958 31040069 31510070 31510131
31590127 31580085 31700082 31660021 32100022 32100016
32540016 32529961 32999961 32989898 33429894 33419840
34089843 34139813 34019803 33909797 33979769 33819732
33749711 33919693 33449692 33419680 33019685 33009650
32549650 32549710 32259713 32079757 31919734 31759735
31729735 31589758 31709768 31469817 31049789 31049785
31019848 30919838
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