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Mesoscale Discussion 1368 |
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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1368
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1037 PM CDT FRI JUN 13 2008
AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL/EASTERN OK INTO WESTERN AR/NORTH TX
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY
VALID 140337Z - 140500Z
THE THREAT FOR SEVERE HAIL /AND POSSIBLY DAMAGING WINDS/ MAY
CONTINUE TO INCREASE ACROSS CENTRAL/EASTERN OK AND PORTIONS OF NORTH
TX INTO WESTERN AR LATE TONIGHT. A SEVERE TSTM WATCH COULD BE NEEDED
SOON.
STRONG/SEVERE TSTMS CONTINUE TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE/INTENSITY IN A
WEST-EAST CORRIDOR GENERALLY ALONG I-40 IN CENTRAL/EASTERN OK... AS
WELL AS THE WESTERN PART OF NORTH TX. THIS ACTIVITY IS OCCURRING ON
THE IMMEDIATE COOL SIDE OF A SURFACE BOUNDARY...OWING TO MODEST
ISENTROPIC LIFT AIDED BY A WEAK LOW LEVEL JET/MOISTURE TRANSPORT
REGIME. WITHIN THIS CORRIDOR...THE 00Z NORMAN RAOB REFLECTED STRONG
INSTABILITY /4000+ J PER KG MUCAPE/ AND STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE HAIL. EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR OF 40-50 KT WILL
SUPPORT SUPERCELL STRUCTURES...ENHANCING THE RISK FOR LARGE HAIL. IN
ADDITION...A DAMAGING WIND THREAT COULD EVENTUALLY INCREASE LATER
TONIGHT PROVIDED FURTHER COLD POOL EXPANSIONS INTO A VERY UNSTABLE
AIRMASS. A 47 KT GUST WAS RECENTLY MEASURED AT OKLAHOMA CITY AT
318Z.
..GUYER.. 06/14/2008
ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...TSA...FWD...OUN...
35549866 35799744 35729445 35529294 34589300 33999454
33689770 33449977 34959925
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