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Mesoscale Discussion 2220 |
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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2220
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1244 AM CST SAT DEC 15 2007
AREAS AFFECTED...NORTHWEST TX
CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW
VALID 150644Z - 151045Z
A LOCALIZED BAND OF MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY HEAVY SNOW...WITH 1
IN/HR RATES POSSIBLE...IS EXPECTED TO DRIFT SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE
FAR SOUTHERN TX PANHANDLE/TX SOUTH PLAINS TOWARD THE CAPROCK
VICINITY OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. THIS INCLUDES THE PLAINVIEW AND
LUBBOCK AREAS.
COINCIDENT WITH DEEPENING MID LEVEL TROUGH ACROSS THE HIGH
PLAINS...INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY IN TANDEM WITH VOLUMETRIC RADAR
DATA REFLECTS AN ENHANCED SOUTHWEST-NORTHEAST ORIENTED BAND OF SNOW
ACROSS THE TX PANHANDLE/SOUTH PLAINS OF NORTHWEST TX. OWING TO LOW
LEVEL COLD ADVECTION AND INCREASING PRECIPITATION RATES...THE
SURFACE WET BULB ZERO LINE HAS MADE A FAIRLY AGGRESSIVE SOUTHWARD
PUSH ACROSS THE TX PANHANDLE/TX SOUTH PLAINS OVER THE PAST FEW
HOURS...WITH THE 32F WET BULB LINE AT 06Z AS FAR SOUTHEAST AS THE
LUBBOCK/CHILDRESS AREAS. WITH SLEET ALREADY REPORTED AT LUBBOCK AS
OF 06Z...A QUICK CHANGE-OVER TO MODERATE/PERHAPS LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
APPEARS IMMINENT FOR THE PLAINVIEW/LUBBOCK VICINITIES PER
OBSERVATIONAL TRENDS. WITH A RESPECTABLE HANDLE OF THIS EXISTING
PRECIPITATION BAND...00Z NAM SOUNDINGS SUPPORT THE POSSIBILITY OF
LOCALIZED 1 IN/HR SNOW RATES /THROUGH AROUND 09Z OR 10Z/ VIA AMPLE
OMEGA COINCIDENT WITH A SATURATED DENDRITIC LAYER.
..GUYER.. 12/15/2007
...NOTICE...
SPC WINTER WEATHER MESOSCALE DISCUSSIONS WILL BE ISSUED ON A
SCHEDULED BASIS FROM DECEMBER 1 THROUGH FEBRUARY 28...FOUR
TIMES A DAY...AROUND 00 UTC...06 UTC...12 UTC...AND 18 UTC
FOR SIGNIFICANT SHORT RANGE WINTER WEATHER EVENTS.
ATTN...WFO...LUB...AMA...
34760081 34450056 33900076 33430129 33410242 33660255
34320204
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