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Mesoscale Discussion 2177 |
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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2177
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1047 PM CST SAT DEC 01 2007
AREAS AFFECTED...UPPER AND NRN LOWER MI...ARROWHEAD OF MN
CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW
VALID 020447Z - 020745Z
A LARGE REGION OF MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY HEAVY SNOW WITH RATES
AROUND 1 TO 1.5 IN/HR ATTM...WILL DIMINISH FROM WEST TO EAST THROUGH
09Z AS MID-LEVEL SUBSIDENCE/DRYING SWEEP EWD.
RECENT SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND RADAR REFLECTIVITY INDICATE A SWATH
OF MODERATE SNOW WITH EMBEDDED AREAS OF HEAVY SNOW STRETCHING FROM
NERN MN SEWD INTO NRN LOWER MI. A LEAD SHORT WAVE TROUGH LOCATED
OVER THE UPPER MS RIVER VALLEY WILL MOVE NEWD INTO ONTARIO AND
WEAKEN OVERNIGHT AS PRIMARY LARGE-SCALE TROUGH EJECTS E FROM THE
ROCKIES ONTO THE HIGH PLAINS. MID-LEVEL ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE WILL
QUICKLY WANE AFTER TROUGH PASSAGE AND LATEST SHORT-TERM MODEL
GUIDANCE FORECASTS ARE IN EXCELLENT AGREEMENT WITH SIGNIFICANT
DRYING COMMENCING WITHIN THE DENDRITIC GROWTH LAYER BETWEEN 06-09Z.
THIS HAS ALREADY BEEN NOTED IN UPSTREAM SATELLITE IMAGERY WHERE
CLOUD TOPS HAVE RAPIDLY WARMED ACROSS CNTRL MN AND MUCH OF WI.
..GRAMS.. 12/02/2007
...NOTICE...
SPC WINTER WEATHER MESOSCALE DISCUSSIONS WILL BE ISSUED ON A
SCHEDULED BASIS FROM DECEMBER 1 THROUGH FEBRUARY 28...FOUR
TIMES A DAY...AROUND 00 UTC...06 UTC...12 UTC...AND 18 UTC
FOR SIGNIFICANT SHORT RANGE WINTER WEATHER EVENTS.
ATTN...WFO...DTX...APX...GRR...MQT...GRB...DLH...
43848246 43388284 43488356 44078476 45068628 45708746
46278874 46799104 46909234 47459299 48209235 48269097
48058937 47408756 46538447 45378323
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