MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2044
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0226 PM CDT SUN SEP 30 2007
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...ERN KS...WRN MO...SRN IA
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 697...
   
   VALID 301926Z - 302030Z
   
   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 697
   CONTINUES.
   
   RADAR LOOPS SHOW BROKEN LINE OF INTENSE THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING FROM
   WRN COWLEY COUNTY INTO BROWN COUNTY KS.  THESE STORMS ARE RACING
   NORTHEASTWARD AT OVER 40 KNOTS...AND WILL AFFECT THE KC AND STJ
   AREAS IN THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO.  MULTIPLE STORMS IN THIS LINE HAVE
   SHOWN TENDENCIES FOR BOWING SEGMENTS...INDICATING THE RISK OF
   DAMAGING WINDS.  CLOUD COVER HAS LIMITED HEATING AHEAD OF FRONT...
   MAINTAINING AT LEAST A WEAK CAPPING INVERSION.  NEVERTHELESS...
   LARGE SCALE ASCENT HAS BEGUN TO OVERSPREAD THE WARM SECTOR AND IS
   NOW ALLOWING ISOLATED PRE-FRONTAL CONVECTION TO FORM.  THIS SHOULD
   MAINTAIN A RISK OF SEVERE STORMS CAPABLE OF DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL
   THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AS ACTIVITY SPREADS INTO WESTERN MO.  MODEL
   GUIDANCE AND RADAR TRENDS ALSO SUGGEST STORMS MAY DEVELOP
   NORTHEASTWARD INTO SOUTH-CENTRAL IA IN THE NEXT COUPLE OF
   HOURS...WHERE A NEW WW MAY BE NEEDED.
   
   ..HART.. 09/30/2007
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...LSX...DVN...SGF...DMX...EAX...TOP...ICT...
   
   37919677 39069609 41089428 42249345 42279213 41329185
   39509258 38019458 37249592 37009717