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Mesoscale Discussion 1945
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MD 1945 graphic
   
   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1945
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0331 PM CDT FRI SEP 07 2007
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...NWRN TX...SWRN OK
   
   CONCERNING...HEAVY RAINFALL 
   
   VALID 072031Z - 072230Z
   
   PARTIAL REMNANTS OF HENRIETTE HAVE ADVECTED NEWD ACROSS THE SRN
   ROCKIES INTO THE SRN PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON PER EXTENSIVE CLOUDINESS
   FROM THE TX PANHANDLE INTO SERN KS.  MORNING RAOBS AND LATEST
   DIAGNOSTIC DATA SUGGEST PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES ARE IN EXCESS OF 2
   INCHES ACROSS MUCH OF THIS REGION.  ALTHOUGH LOW LEVEL WARM
   ADVECTION IS QUITE WEAK ALONG/NORTH OF WEAK FRONTAL
   BOUNDARY...MINIMAL INHIBITION AND PARTIAL SUNSHINE ACROSS THE WARM
   SECTOR HAVE ENHANCED RECENT CONVECTIVE INTENSIFICATION...ESPECIALLY
   ACROSS THE SRN TX PANHANDLE...SWD TO NEAR LBB.  THERE IS REASON TO
   BELIEVE THIS ACTIVITY WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE IN AREAL COVERAGE AND
   INTENSITY OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS WITH A SLOW EWD PROPAGATION
   EXPECTED INTO SWRN PORTIONS OF OK THIS EVENING.  NEEDLESS TO
   SAY...VERY HIGH PW VALUES AND SLOW-MOVING STORMS SHOULD ENHANCE THE
   PROSPECT FOR HEAVY RAINS.  IN THE SHORT TERM...A FEW STORMS MAY
   EXHIBIT WEAK ROTATION WHICH COULD AID HAIL PRODUCTION OR PERHAPS A
   WET MICROBURST.  OVERALL...THE GREATEST RISK ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS
   TONIGHT WILL BE HEAVY RAIN.
   
   ..DARROW.. 09/07/2007
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...OUN...LUB...AMA...MAF...
   
   33200296 34780225 35270153 35360015 35159889 34689872
   33580037 32700220 
   
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