MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1884
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0329 PM CDT FRI AUG 24 2007
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...TX PANHANDLE...NERN NM...FAR SERN CO
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE 
   
   VALID 242029Z - 242200Z
   
   THE SEVERE THREAT WILL INCREASE THROUGH EARLY EVENING AS CONVECTION
   MOVES E OFF THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF NM/CO AND ALSO DEVELOPS ALONG
   OUTFLOW/FRACTURED FRONTAL BOUNDARIES OVER THE TX PANHANDLE. MODERATE
   INSTABILITY AND SUFFICIENTLY STRONG DEEP-LAYER SHEAR WILL SUPPORT
   SUPERCELL DEVELOPMENT WITH ATTENDANT THREATS FOR LARGE HAIL/POSSIBLE
   SEVERE WIND GUSTS. THE AREA WILL BE MONITORED FOR A POSSIBLE WW
   ISSUANCE IN THE NEXT 2-3 HOURS.
   
   AS OF 2025Z...SCT TSTMS HAVE DEVELOPED WITHIN THE PAST 1-2 HOURS
   ALONG THE RATON MESA SWD TOWARDS THE SACRAMENTO MTNS. RECENT VIS
   SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS INCREASINGLY AGITATED TCU/SMALL CBS ALONG A
   SERIES OF OUTFLOW/FRACTURED FRONTAL BOUNDARIES IN THE TX
   PANHANDLE...WITH THE MOST VIGOROUS DEVELOPMENT FROM BAILEY THROUGH
   ARMSTRONG COUNTIES. FARTHER N...LINGERING STRATUS DECK HAS RETARDED
   SFC HEATING ACROSS MOST OF THE OK PANHANDLE ROUGHLY NE OF A LINE
   FROM GAG TO SPD. S OF THIS HOWEVER...TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED INTO
   THE UPPER 80S TO MIDDLE 90S CONTRIBUTING TO MLCAPES OF 1000 TO 2000
   J/KG PER LATEST RUC OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS. ALTHOUGH REGIONAL WIND
   PROFILERS DEPICT GENERALLY WEAK 0-2 KM FLOW...AROUND 30 TO 35 KTS OF
   W/NWLY 6 KM WINDS WILL BE SUFFICIENT FOR UPDRAFT ROTATION AND
   POSSIBLE SUPERCELLS.
   
   ..GRAMS.. 08/24/2007
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...OUN...LUB...AMA...PUB...ABQ...
   
   37140248 36520133 36560048 36369969 35279965 34739993
   34340097 33810195 33570281 33710382 34170453 34690465
   35870456 36590447 37370438 37800389 37560302