MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1861
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0152 PM CDT THU AUG 23 2007
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...ERN SC...FAR SERN NC
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 
   
   VALID 231852Z - 232045Z
   
   TSTMS DEVELOPING BOTH ALONG THE OCEAN BREEZE/SYNOPTIC BOUNDARIES
   WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AND MAY POSE A MARGINAL DMGG WIND THREAT
   OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. LIMITED AREAL COVERAGE AND LACK OF MORE
   ORGANIZATION SHOULD LIMIT NEED FOR A WW.
   
   LATEST SFC ANALYSIS PLACES A WEAK E-W ORIENTED NEARLY STATIONARY
   FRONTAL BOUNDARY JUST NORTH OF THE NC/SC BORDER. SOUTH OF THIS
   BOUNDARY...THE AIRMASS WAS MODERATELY TO VERY UNSTABLE WITH MLCAPE
   FROM 2000-3000 J/KG. MEANWHILE...TSTMS WERE DEVELOPING ALONG THE
   OCEAN BREEZE BOUNDARY MOVING SLOWLY WWD ACROSS COASTAL COUNTIES OF
   ERN SC. GENERALLY WEAK MID LEVEL WIND FIELDS /AOB 20 KTS/ SHOULD
   PRECLUDE GREATER TSTM ORGANIZATION. HOWEVER...WHERE CONVECTIVE
   CELLS/LINE MERGERS OCCUR AS TSTMS MOVING SWWD FROM SERN NC ENCOUNTER
   TSTMS MOVING WWD ACROSS ERN SC...A LOCALIZED HIGHER PROBABILITY OF
   DMGG WIND POTENTIAL IS POSSIBLE ACROSS ERN SC.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 08/23/2007
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...RAH...ILM...CHS...CAE...
   
   32538011 32967974 33247920 34287834 34607862 34867889
   34777981 34708019 34068073 33568119 33358135 33218143
   33168135 32798100 32488058