|
Mesoscale Discussion 1724 |
< Previous MD
Next MD >
|
|
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1724
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0115 PM CDT SAT AUG 11 2007
AREAS AFFECTED...SRN SC...SRN GA...NRN FL...SERN AL
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE
VALID 111815Z - 112015Z
STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP WITH A FEW PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS.
A WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.
A VERY UNSTABLE AIR MASS HAS DEVELOPED ALONG AND E OF A WEAK SURFACE
TROUGH AXIS...FROM CNTRL SC INTO S CNTRL GA...NRN FL AND SERN AL.
WIND FIELDS ALOFT ARE QUITE WEAK...THUS STORM MODE WILL BE MAINLY
PULSE WITH REGENERATION ALONG OUTFLOW. STRONG HEATING WILL CONTINUE
TO STEEPEN LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND WILL FAVOR STRONG OUTFLOW
WINDS. STORM MOTIONS WILL INITIALLY BE VERY SLOW AND WILL RESULT IN
EXTREMELY HEAVY RAIN RATES. INITIALLY...STORM MOTIONS WILL BE SLOW
WITH LOCALIZED WIND THREAT. HOWEVER...4KM WRF MODELS SUGGEST THAT
STORM/OUTFLOW MERGERS MAY EVENTUALLY RESULT IN A FORWARD PROPAGATING
SYSTEM WHICH WOULD MOVE INTO SERN GA/NRN FL LATER THIS AFTERNOON. A
WW COULD BE REQUIRED IF AN ORGANIZED MCS DEVELOPS LATER TODAY.
..JEWELL.. 08/11/2007
ATTN...WFO...ILM...CHS...CAE...JAX...FFC...TAE...BMX...MOB...
30668133 30458191 30288286 30108409 29688520 30358607
31018663 31498670 31948561 32708435 33058329 33668217
34188148 34078077 33747989 32997915 32128079 31378113
|
Top/All Mesoscale Discussions/Forecast Products/Home
|
|