MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1493
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1215 PM CDT MON JUL 16 2007
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...AL...GA...FL
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 
   
   VALID 161715Z - 161945Z
   
   EXPECT STRONG TO ISOLATED SEVERE TSTMS TO INCREASE FROM THE FL
   PANHANDLE TO PARTS OF SRN AL/GA AND NRN FL OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
   WHILE SOME OF THESE STORMS COULD RESULT IN STRONG/DAMAGING WINDS AND
   PERHAPS SOME HAIL...OVERALL SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL IS LIKELY TO
   PRECLUDE A WATCH ISSUANCE.
   
   DESPITE MODEST TO STRONG DESTABILIZATION...GENERALLY WEAK MID LEVEL
   FLOW AND FORCING WILL CONTRIBUTE TO LIMITED TSTM ORGANIZATION ALONG
   THE NCNTRL/NERN GULF COAST THIS AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...LATEST ANALYSIS
   DEPICTS STRONG HEATING WAS ONGOING AHEAD OF LA/NRN GULF MCS
   ASSOCIATED WITH SLOW MOVING UPPER LOW OVER LA. DIFFERENTIAL
   HEATING/LIFT ALONG THE LEADING EDGE OF THE CONVECTIVE COLD
   POOL...NOW MOVING TOWARD THE WRN FL PANHANDLE...IN ADDITION TO BAND
   OF SLIGHTLY STRONGER /20-25KT/ SWLY MID LEVEL FLOW...SHOULD ENHANCE
   TSTM POTENTIAL FROM THE WRN PANHANDLE NWD ACROSS SRN AL.
   MEANWHILE...GULF BREEZE...STRONG SURFACE HEATING...AND NRN FL SEA
   BREEZE COLLISIONS SHOULD ALL PLAY A ROLE IN ROBUST CONVECTIVE
   DEVELOPMENT FROM THE TLH AREA EWD GNV. PRIMARILY MULTICELLULAR/PULSE
   STORMS IN THIS ENVIRONMENT COULD PRODUCE ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND
   GUSTS AND HAIL. HOWEVER...RANDOM AND GENERALLY SHORT-LIVED NATURE OF
   THESE THREATS SUGGESTS THAT A WATCH IS NOT LIKELY AT THIS TIME.
   
   ..CARBIN.. 07/16/2007
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...TBW...JAX...TAE...MOB...
   
   30458199 29768165 29128219 29228310 30028406 29798515
   30398609 30278688 30158782 31048832 31368809 31548641
   31108498 30598250