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Mesoscale Discussion 1358 |
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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1358
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0755 PM CDT MON JUL 02 2007
AREAS AFFECTED...MT...WY
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 472...
VALID 030055Z - 030230Z
CORRECTED FOR WATCH NUMBER IN MCD
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 472
CONTINUES.
NUMEROUS INTENSE TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE SPREADING GENERALLY
EWD FROM NCNTRL INTO NEWD MT THIS EVENING. SOME OF THESE CELLS COULD
BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING OUTFLOW WINDS. ADDITIONAL
STORMS SHOULD INCREASE ACROSS PARTS OF SCNTRL/SERN MT AND NERN WY
LATER TONIGHT.
STRONGEST STORMS APPEAR TO BE OCCURRING IN ADVANCE OF A FAST-MOVING
SHORT WAVE TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED FRONTAL ZONE/LOW CURRENTLY LOCATED
ACROSS THE NWRN PORTIONS OF WW 472. WEAK SURFACE LOW AND UNSTABLE
WARM SECTOR...FROM LWT TO GGW AND POINTS SOUTH...SHOULD CONTINUE TO
FAVOR ROBUST STORMS AND POSSIBLY SUPERCELLS. PRESENT INDICATIONS ARE
THAT MOST INTENSE ACTIVITY WILL MOVE INTO TORNADO WATCH 473 SHORTLY.
ADDITIONAL CONVECTION APPEARS TO BE INCREASING ACROSS THE
ABSAROKA...BEARTOOTH...AND BIG HORN MOUNTAINS ATTM AND THIS ACTIVITY
MAY BE SUSTAINED AS LARGE SCALE FORCING WITH THE SHORT WAVE TROUGH
MOVES EAST THIS EVENING. HOT AIR MASS ACROSS THE LOWER ELEVATIONS
WILL SUPPORT DAMAGING DOWNBURST WINDS. LARGE HAIL WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE GIVEN DEGREE OF INSTABILITY AND SHEAR OVER THE REGION.
..CARBIN.. 07/03/2007
ATTN...WFO...UNR...CYS...BYZ...GGW...RIW...TFX...
49001217 49000865 47760893 47570841 46780870 46760782
46850616 46610413 45390411 43970410 43460417 43480709
44440726 45040796 44970983 46200961 46231035 46741051
47541086 47681141 48201151 48331231
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