MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1332
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0228 PM CDT SAT JUN 30 2007
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL NM
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 
   
   VALID 301928Z - 302200Z
   
   TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF CENTRAL NM
   IN THE NEXT 1-2 HOURS. A FEW OF THESE STORMS MAY POSE A MARGINAL SVR
   THREAT AS THEY MOVE SSWWD INTO THE LOWER RIO GRANDE RIVER VALLEY AND
   THE HIGH PLAINS REGION OF CENTRAL NM LATER THIS AFTERNOON. A WW IS
   NOT EXPECTED FOR THIS AREA GIVEN THE MARGINAL NATURE OF THE SVR
   THREAT. 
   
   RECENT VIS SAT IMAGERY SHOWS MDT/TOWERING CU HAS FORMED OVER THE
   SACRAMENTO AND SANGRE DE CRISTO MTNS. SEVERAL TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO
   DEVELOP IN THESE AREAS WITHIN THE NEXT 1-2 HOURS...GIVEN CONTINUED
   HEATING AND LIMITED REMAINING CINH. A BELT OF MODEST NNELY MID LEVEL
   FLOW EXISTS TO THE WEST OF THE SRN PLAINS UPPER LOW WHERE PROFILER
   DATA FROM WHITE SANDS AND TUCUMCARI BOTH INDICATED 25-30 KTS AT 4-6
   KM. GIVEN WEAKENING CINH OVER LOWER ELEVATIONS ...SEVERAL CLUSTERS
   OF TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AND MOVE SSWWD OFF THE HIGHER
   TERRAIN INTO LOWER ELEVATIONS BEGINNING AROUND 22Z. STEEP LOW LEVEL
   LAPSE RATES AND UNIDIRECTIONAL FLOW REGIME SHOULD SUPPORT THE
   POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED SVR WIND GUSTS. GIVEN EXPECTED MODEST
   INSTABILITY /MLCAPES LESS THAN 1000 J/KG/...THE SVR THREAT SHOULD
   REMAIN MARGINAL ENOUGH TO PRECLUDE A WW.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 06/30/2007
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...ABQ...EPZ...
   
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