MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1312
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0619 PM CDT THU JUN 28 2007
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...NORTH CENTRAL TX AND CENTRAL/NORTHEAST OK INTO
   SOUTHEAST KS/SOUTHWEST MO
   
   CONCERNING...HEAVY RAINFALL 
   
   VALID 282319Z - 290145Z
   
   HEAVY RAINFALL...WITH RAIN RATES OF 1 IN/HR POSSIBLE...APPEARS
   LIKELY TO PERSIST THROUGH THE EVENING FROM NORTH CENTRAL TX AND
   CENTRAL/NORTHEAST OK INTO SOUTHEAST KS/SOUTHWEST MO.
   
   ASSOCIATED WITH A PERSISTENT TROPICAL LOW...LATEST SURFACE ANALYSIS
   FEATURES A SURFACE LOW CENTERED ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL TX NEAR MINERAL
   WELLS /CIRCULATION ALSO EVIDENT VIA RADAR IMAGERY/...WITH A WEAK
   FRONT/TROUGH EXTENDING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS CENTRAL/NORTHEAST
   OK INTO SOUTHEAST KS/SOUTHWEST MO. IT APPEARS LIKELY THAT A
   PERSISTENT CORRIDOR OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY
   FOCUSED THROUGH THE EVENING ALONG/WEST OF THE AFOREMENTIONED FRONTAL
   BOUNDARY/TROUGH...INCLUDING AREAS GENERALLY ALONG THE I-44 CORRIDOR
   AND LOCALES FROM NEAR WICHITA FALLS TX TO THE OKC METRO
   AREA...STILLWATER/PONCA CITY OK...TO CHANUTE KS. EAST OF THE SURFACE
   BOUNDARY/TROUGH...SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE MORE SCATTERED IN
   NATURE...WITH HEAVY RAINFALL NEVERTHELESS POSSIBLE ON A MORE
   LOCALIZED BASIS. A RATHER MOIST AMBIENT AIRMASS CONTINUES TO RESIDE
   ACROSS THE REGION...WITH LOWER 70S F SURFACE DEWPOINTS AND
   PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES NEAR 2.0 INCHES SUPPORTING HIGH
   PRECIPITATION EFFICIENCIES.
   
   ..GUYER.. 06/28/2007
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...SGF...TSA...ICT...FWD...OUN...SJT...
   
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