MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1265
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1221 PM CDT SUN JUN 24 2007
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...ERN TN...SWRN VA...WRN NC...NWRN SC...FAR NERN GA
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE 
   
   VALID 241721Z - 241915Z
   
   STORMS WILL DEVELOP AND BECOME NUMEROUS THIS AFTERNOON WITH A THREAT
   OF HAIL AND LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.
   
   STRONG HEATING IS UNDERWAY WITH TOWERING CU NOTED ON VISIBLE
   IMAGERY. MODIFIED OBSERVED AND FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW STRONG
   INSTABILITY IN PLACE WHICH WILL ALLOW FOR VIGOROUS UPDRAFTS. WIND
   SHEAR PROFILES ARE RELATIVELY WEAK AND GENERALLY FAVOR PULSE
   CONVECTION. HOWEVER...VEERING LOW LEVEL WINDS IN THE LEE OF THE
   APPALACHIANS ALONG WITH STRONG HEATING AND INSTABILITY WILL ALLOW A
   FEW CELLS TO BECOME MULTICELLULAR WITH A FEW LONGER LIVED CORES.
   LARGE HAIL AND STRONG WIND GUSTS WILL BE LIKELY. HAIL ANALOGS
   PRODUCED FROM BOTH NAM AND RUC MODEL SOUNDINGS INDICATE THE MOST
   LIKELY HAIL SIZE WILL BE FROM 0.75 - 1.00 INCH WITH ISOLATED
   1.50-1.75 INCH STONES POSSIBLE.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 06/24/2007
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...RAH...RNK...RLX...CAE...GSP...MRX...FFC...
   
   34428093 34348161 34368236 34348358 34538419 34888448
   35468466 36428350 37278171 37348023 36957988 36547974
   35478034 34858042