MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1249
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0135 PM CDT FRI JUN 22 2007
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...DEEP SOUTH TX
   
   CONCERNING...HEAVY RAINFALL 
   
   VALID 221835Z - 222130Z
   
   STORMS CONTINUE TO INCREASE OVER SRN TX WITH RAPIDLY COOLING CLOUD
   TOPS ON IR. SURFACE HEATING OVER DEEP S TX ALONG WITH AN APPROACHING
   WEAK MID LEVEL TROUGH OVER NERN MX WILL RESULT IN LOWERING SFC
   PRESSURE AND INCREASED CONVERGENCE. PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES
   CURRENTLY MEASURED FROM 2.00 - 2.25 INCHES AND STRONG INSTABILITY
   WILL RESULT IN VERY HEAVY RAIN OF 2-3 IN/HR. WEAK WINDS ALOFT...NO
   CAP AND PERSISTENT SELY LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL FAVOR REDEVELOPMENT AND
   PROPAGATION ALONG EXISTING OUTFLOWS WITH SEVERAL CLUSTERS OF HEAVY
   RAIN LIKELY. ONE CLUSTER WAS ONGOING EARLY THIS AFTERNOON FROM NRN
   DUVAL/JIM WELLS COUNTIES WITH ADDITIONAL AREAS OF HEAVY RAIN
   EXPECTED TO DEVELOP FARTHER W TOWARD LRD LATER TODAY.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 06/22/2007
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...CRP...EWX...BRO...
   
   28379973 28899905 29389787 29279707 28429694 27619725
   26879794 26319905 27159950 27979997