MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1151
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0233 PM CDT THU JUN 14 2007
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...WRN KS...ERN OK/NERN TX PANHANDLES
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 
   
   VALID 141933Z - 142130Z
   
   AIRMASS CONTINUES TO DESTABILIZE OVER THE AREA INVOF OF UPPER LOW
   CENTER. A COMBINATION OF ENHANCED VORTICITY INVOF OF THE UPPER LOW
   AND ASSOCIATED SFC TROUGH WITH INCREASING INSTABILITY MAY SUPPORT A
   BRIEF/WEAK TORNADO THIS AFTERNOON.
   
   LATEST SFC ANALYSIS PLACES A 1009 MB LOW CENTERED OVER THE ERN OK
   PANHANDLE. A SFC TROUGH EXTENDED NWD FROM THIS LOW ACROSS WRN KS AND
   SWD INTO THE NERN TX PANHANDLE. VISIBLE SAT IMAGERY INDICATED
   SUBSTANTIAL BREAKS IN THE LOW-MID CLOUD COVER OVER WRN KS WHICH WAS
   AIDING IN DESTABILIZATION THE LAST 2 HOURS. ADDITIONAL
   DESTABILIZATION SHOULD OCCUR OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS...WITH
   AROUND 1000 J/KG OF MLCAPE AND LITTLE REMAINING MLCINH BY 21Z. THUS
   TSTMS SHOULD CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AND INTENSIFY ACROSS WRN KS...ERN
   OK/NERN TX PANHANDLES OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. GIVEN THE
   PRESENCE OF ENHANCED LOW LEVEL VORTICITY INVOF OF THE SFC LOW AND
   SFC TROUGH ALONG WITH HIGH VALUES 0-3 KM MLCAPE VALUE /150-200 J/KG/
   AN ISOLATED BRIEF/WEAK TORNADO AND/OR LANDSPOUT WILL BE POSSIBLE
   WITH THE STRONGEST UPDRAFTS.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 06/14/2007
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...GID...DDC...GLD...AMA...
   
   38940006 39329940 39909962 39919949 39840049 39370110
   38480169 37660165 36000107 35920066 36310020 37370037