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Mesoscale Discussion 1122 |
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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1122
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0535 PM CDT TUE JUN 12 2007
AREAS AFFECTED...NERN CO...NWRN/NCENTRAL KS...CENTRAL/WRN NEB
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 387...
VALID 122235Z - 130030Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 387 CONTINUES.
THREAT FOR SVR HAS DIMINISHED OVER MUCH OF WW 387...EXCEPT PORTIONS
OF CENTRAL NEB...AS CLOUD COVER AND PREVIOUS CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW HAS
STABILIZED THE ENVIRONMENT. ISOLATED SVR TSTMS WILL BE POSSIBLE EAST
OF WW 387 ACROSS CENTRAL NEB/NCENTRAL KS...BUT A WW IS NOT
ANTICIPATED ACROSS THIS AREA ATTM. WW 387 IS EXPECTED TO EXPIRE AT
00Z.
MUCH OF WRN NEB/NWRN KS AND NERN CO HAS BECOME STABILIZED IN THE
WAKE OF EARLIER CONVECTION WITH SFC TEMPERATURES IN THE 60S.
ALTHOUGH A SLIGHT MODIFICATION TO THE AIRMASS IS POSSIBLE OVER NERN
CO WHERE SOLAR HEATING SHOULD INCREASE IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS /PER
SAT IMAGERY/ THE SVR THREAT IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN LIMITED ACROSS
MOST OF WW 387. THE ONLY EXCEPTION TO THIS IS OVER FAR ERN PORTIONS
OF WW 387 /EAST OF LINE FROM LBF AND VTN/ WHERE AN ORGANIZED
CONVECTIVE LINE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SLOWLY EWD. THIS CONVECTIVE
LINE AND ADDITIONAL ISOLATED DISCRETE CELLS WILL CONTINUE TO POSE A
MARGINAL SVR THREAT FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS ACROSS CENTRAL NEB
AND NCENTRAL KS. HOWEVER...GIVEN THAT MOST OF THIS CONVECTION WILL
REMAIN AHEAD OF STRONGER MID LEVEL FLOW...THE SVR THREAT SHOULD
REMAIN ISOLATED/MARGINAL ENOUGH THAT A WW IS NOT EXPECTED.
..CROSBIE.. 06/12/2007
ATTN...WFO...TOP...ICT...GID...LBF...DDC...GLD...PUB...
40010255 38260275 38320019 38319780 40489798 42989903
42710075 40490148
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